← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Hendrik Hansen · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 25' | 🟨 | Albion Vrenezi · Regensburg |
| 27' | 🟨 | Kaan Caliskaner · Regensburg |
| 34' | 🟨 | Florian Flecker · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 39' | 🟨 | Oliver Hein · Regensburg |
| 66' | 🟥 | Niklas Hoffmann · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
| 88' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Opoku · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 🟨 |
| Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hendrik Hansen · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 1246.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1439.27 | 1370.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.12 | -22.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.55 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |