← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Nov 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 40% | 2.45 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · VfL Osnabruck |
| 56' | 🟨 | Maurice Trapp · VfL Osnabruck |
| 65' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · VfL Osnabruck |
| 66' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 85' | ⚽ | David Blacha · VfL Osnabruck |
| 89' | 🟨 | James Lawrence · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 149.00 | 1153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1420.81 | 1444.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.57 | 10.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 26.91 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |