← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Nov 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Braunschweig win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 7' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 15' | 🟨 | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 25' | 🟨 | Patrick Kammerbauer · Braunschweig |
| 33' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 36' | 🟨 | Michael Schultz · Braunschweig |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Yari Otto · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 149.00 | 392.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1493.37 | 1443.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.65 | -14.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | -1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.55 | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |