← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Nov 23, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 36% | 2.74 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · Nurnberg |
| 29' | ⚽ | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maurice Trapp · VfL Osnabruck |
| 55' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 55' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 71' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · Nurnberg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tom Krauß · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 1149.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1466.43 | 1440.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.90 | -17.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 15.29 | 16.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 25.59 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |