← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Nov 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Regensburg win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Regensburg −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 14' | 🟨 | Kaan Caliskaner · Regensburg |
| 23' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 32' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Paul Jaeckel · Regensburg |
| 56' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 63' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 21 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 660.00 | 1240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1504.76 | 1449.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.60 | -4.28 |
| eye test v1 | 1.26 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 1.14 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 26.43 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |