← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Nov 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Bochum win | 19% | 5.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Bochum −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 66' | 🟨 | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 78' | ⚽ | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 81' | 🟨 | Bobby Wood · Hamburger SV |
| 82' | ⚽ | Raman Chibsah · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 144.00 | 448.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1561.98 | 1497.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.57 | -12.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 12.71 | 15.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 28.59 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |