← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Hanslbauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Braunschweig win | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Robin Ziegele · Karlsruhe |
| 18' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 31' | ⚽ | Nick Proschwitz · Braunschweig |
| 48' | 🟨 | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 49' | 🟨 | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 53' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 63' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dirk Carlson · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 386.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1463.07 | 1422.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.29 | 30.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 12.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 28.47 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.34 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |