← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 56' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Christopher Avevor · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 1330.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1526.26 | 1429.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.71 | -23.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 12.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |