← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Nov 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 43% | 2.25 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.52 |
| Under | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 8' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 13' | ⚽ | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 22' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 25' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Lars Lukas Mai · Darmstadt |
| 34' | 🟨 | Adrian Stanilewicz · Darmstadt |
| 35' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 40' | 🟥 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots | 25 |
| 2 | On target | 13 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 130.00 | 1317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1533.61 | 1502.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.85 | 15.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |