← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Nov 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 2.70 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
| 29' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · VfL Osnabruck |
| 41' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
| 63' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 64' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 66' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 71' | 🟨 | Florian Heister · Regensburg |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
| 75' | ⚽ | Aaron Opoku · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1226.00 | 1134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1467.86 | 1448.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.78 | 29.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.76 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 27.48 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |