← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Bochum win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bochum +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 24' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 34' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 433.00 | 645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1516.13 | 1485.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.80 | 31.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 1.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 26.08 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |