← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Nov 6, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 49' | 🟨 | Toko Nzuzi · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 56' | ⚽ | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 70' | 🟨 | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Mitja Lotrič · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lars Dietz · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 83' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 85' | 🟨 | Douglas · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 90' | ⚽ | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 4815.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1510.65 | 1365.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.69 | -30.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| league points | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.21 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.42 | -1.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |