← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.31 |
| Regensburg win | 33% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 23' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 62' | ⚽ | Marco Terrazzino · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 79' | ⚽ | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 81' | 🟨 | Oliver Hein · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Johannes Dörfler · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 1309.00 | 1218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1490.74 | 1479.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.42 | 27.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.80 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 26.66 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |