← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 23% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | ⚽ | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 61' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 87' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 4803.00 | 1120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1521.79 | 1434.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.12 | 38.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 22.83 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |