← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Bochum −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 28' | 🟥 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 70' | 🟨 | Philipp Riese · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 74' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 76' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 82' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 420.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1496.71 | 1475.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.61 | 26.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.10 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.32 | 28.76 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |