← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Oct 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 76' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 79' | 🟨 | Daniel Buballa · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Rico Benatelli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rico Benatelli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 115.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1530.02 | 1443.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.55 | -4.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| league points | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 18.69 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |