← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Oct 23, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| Braunschweig win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Regensburg −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Albion Vrenezi · Regensburg |
| 11' | 🟨 | Nico Klass · Braunschweig |
| 40' | 🟨 | Nico Klass · Braunschweig |
| 40' | 🟥 | Nico Klass · Braunschweig |
| 48' | 🟨 | Oliver Hein · Regensburg |
| 61' | ⚽ | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 78' | ⚽ | Albion Vrenezi · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1210.00 | 357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1465.18 | 1468.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.11 | -25.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.57 |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 27.22 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.49 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |