← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Oct 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 47% | 2.05 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 27% | 3.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Hannover +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Johannes Dörfler · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 29' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marco Terrazzino · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 1296.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1479.83 | 1539.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.35 | 9.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.79 |
| league points | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 15.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 27.96 |
| state index | -1.36 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |