← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.61 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 26' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 30' | ⚽ | Dominik Kother · Karlsruhe |
| 37' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 39' | 🟨 | Aleksandr Zhirov · SV Sandhausen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 46' | ⚽ | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 57' | 🟨 | Robin Scheu · SV Sandhausen |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dennis Diekmeier · SV Sandhausen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 259.00 | 747.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1385.69 | 1480.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.98 | 21.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 63.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.77 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -2.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 28.36 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |