← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Oct 5, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Darmstadt win | 27% | 3.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 13' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 38' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 61' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Nurnberg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 76' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 96.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1457.52 | 1520.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.52 | 9.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 9.31 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |