← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Oct 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 47% | 2.05 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 27% | 3.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Robert Herrmann · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 26' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 47' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 53' | 🟨 | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Dominic Baumann · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 88' | 🟨 | Robin Kehr · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 33.00 | 611.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.53 |
| elo | 1392.36 | 1457.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.08 | -10.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 24.45 |
| state index | -1.93 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |