← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Oct 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bochum −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Philipp Kühn · VfL Osnabruck |
| 57' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 60' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 66' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 83' | 🟥 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 86' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 397.00 | 1097.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1510.18 | 1430.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.34 | 40.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |