← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Sep 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 57' | 🟨 | Marco Đuričin · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 68' | 🟥 | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 73' | 🟨 | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 239.00 | 392.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1401.19 | 1501.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.64 | 4.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 5.71 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 29.07 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |