← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Sep 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Hannover +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Santos · VfL Osnabruck |
| 39' | 🟨 | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 47' | ⚽ | Christian Santos · VfL Osnabruck |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Hannover |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · VfL Osnabruck |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 1090.00 | 329.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1418.80 | 1539.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |