← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 30, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Ponferradina win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Ponferradina +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.89 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Mallorca |
| 40' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Oscar Sielva · Ponferradina |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marc Cardona · Mallorca |
| 65' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Mallorca |
| 75' | ⚽ | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 85' | 🟥 | José Antonio Caro · Ponferradina |
| 87' | ⚽ | Curro · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1094.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1446.89 | 1601.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.79 | 27.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| league points | 57.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |