← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 30, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
| Lugo win | 16% | 6.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −1 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Andrés Martín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Roberto Canella · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 302.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1551.99 | 1397.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.41 | 19.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.80 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 68.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 34.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.29 | -2.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 29.12 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |