← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 30, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 |
| Castellon win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Castellon −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Cayetano Quintana · Málaga CF |
| 66' | ⚽ | Stefan Šćepović · Málaga CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Castellon |
| 86' | ⚽ | Stefan Šćepović · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 515.00 | 668.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1451.89 | 1388.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.23 | -50.66 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| league points | 53.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 30.12 |
| state index | -0.93 | -1.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |