← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Albacete win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Albacete +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Borja Garcés · Fuenlabrada |
| 59' | 🟨 | Juanma Marrero · Fuenlabrada |
| 60' | ⚽ | Borja Garcés · Fuenlabrada |
| 67' | ⚽ | Emiliano Gómez · Albacete |
| 85' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dragan Rosić · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 180.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1397.00 | 1480.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.18 | -32.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| league points | 39.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 63.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -2.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.82 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |