← Segunda División 2020 · Thu, May 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
| Málaga CF win | 23% | 4.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Girona +0.5 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟥 | Josua Mejías · Málaga CF |
| 16' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 19' | 🟨 | Gerard Gumbau · Girona |
| 19' | 🟥 | — · Málaga CF |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jairo Samperio · Málaga CF |
| 33' | 🟨 | Monchu · Girona |
| 40' | 🟨 | Joaquín Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 62' | ⚽ | Santiago Bueno · Girona |
| 66' | 🟨 | Matos · Málaga CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Santiago Bueno · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Rodríguez · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 505.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1465.46 | 1575.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.59 | 47.05 |
| eye test v1 | -1.50 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 53.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.76 | 0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |