← Segunda División 2020 · Tue, May 18, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Lugo win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Albacete −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.53 |
| Over | 36% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Lugo |
| 25' | ⚽ | José Luis Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 30' | 🟨 | Pape Maly Diamanka · Albacete |
| 39' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Albacete |
| 69' | 🟨 | José Luis Rodríguez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 168.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1406.15 | 1384.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.28 | -6.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -1.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 38.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 29.40 | 28.03 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |