← Segunda División 2020 · Tue, May 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Cartagena win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cartagena +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Cartagena |
| 25' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Cartagena |
| 36' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 41' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 45' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 47' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 66' | 🟨 | Raúl Navas · Cartagena |
| 76' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 81' | 🟨 | Giorgi Makaridze · Almeria |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 137.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1451.07 | 1560.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.70 | 1.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 46.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 30.05 | 24.59 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |