← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, May 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Málaga CF win | 18% | 5.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mini · Málaga CF |
| 61' | ⚽ | Lucas Ahijado · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matías Nahuel · Oviedo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Rodri · Oviedo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Cristo Romero · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Joaquín Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexander González · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 471.00 | 502.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1506.08 | 1472.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.42 | -6.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 8.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 25.51 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |