← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, May 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 63% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.40 |
| Albacete win | 13% | 8.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −1.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Almeria −1.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Albacete |
| 22' | 🟨 | Álvaro Jiménez · Albacete |
| 28' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 69' | 🟥 | Álvaro Peña · Albacete |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Akieme · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Torres · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bernabé Barragán · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Isaac · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 44.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1565.72 | 1400.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.12 | 11.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| league points | 66.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.12 | 28.78 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |