← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, May 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Las Palmas win | 33% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Las Palmas +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Zanimacchia · Zaragoza |
| 22' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Vigaray · Zaragoza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 81' | ⚽ | Juan Sanabria · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 806.00 | 287.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1489.63 | 1454.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.02 | -7.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 53.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.02 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 28.02 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |