← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, May 15, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Mirandes win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Pablo Martínez · Mirandes |
| 63' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Naïs Djouahra · Mirandes |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Pablo Martínez · Mirandes |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Genaro · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Lizoain · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 44.00 | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1373.42 | 1487.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.75 | -8.84 |
| eye test v1 | -1.65 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| league points | 38.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 4.90 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 24.48 |
| state index | -1.81 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |