← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ponferradina win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Castellon −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Castellon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Oscar Sielva · Ponferradina |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Castellon |
| 88' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | César Díaz · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 653.00 | 1079.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1427.46 | 1457.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.50 | -13.94 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| league points | 44.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.98 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 27.54 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |