← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, May 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Málaga CF win | 23% | 4.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Mallorca +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 29' | ⚽ | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cristo Romero · Málaga CF |
| 61' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 64' | 🟨 | Cristian Rodríguez · Málaga CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Joan Sastre · Mallorca |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jordi Mboula · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brian Oliván · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 493.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1471.43 | 1580.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.73 | -16.59 |
| eye test v1 | -1.54 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 52.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |