← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, May 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 47% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Albacete win | 23% | 4.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Javier Jiménez · Albacete |
| 28' | 🟨 | Alberto Benito · Albacete |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Jiménez · Albacete |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ivan Rodríguez · Ponferradina |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 75' | 🟥 | Adrián Castellano · Ponferradina |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gaspar Panadero · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1072.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1471.89 | 1386.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.18 | -11.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 54.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 4.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 28.78 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |