← Segunda División 2020 · Fri, May 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.96 |
| Tenerife win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Tenerife +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟥 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
| 69' | ⚽ | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Shaq Moore · Tenerife |
| 80' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Tenerife |
| 84' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 187.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1500.37 | 1555.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.97 | -27.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| league points | 51.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 25.64 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |