← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Cartagena win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Dragan Rosić · Fuenlabrada |
| 14' | ⚽ | Borja Garcés · Fuenlabrada |
| 48' | ⚽ | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 52' | 🟨 | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Cartagena |
| 67' | 🟥 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 75' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 77' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 90.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1506.67 | 1422.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.71 | 26.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 47.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.37 | 30.57 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |