← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Apr 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Albacete win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Albacete −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 85' |
| 🟨 |
| Bebé · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Bebé · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yacine Qasmi · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 268.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1537.90 | 1391.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.08 | -23.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 57.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 8.21 | 8.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 26.84 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |