← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Apr 25, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Castellon win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 27' | 🟥 | Javier Alonso · Tenerife |
| 41' | ⚽ | Fran Sol · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Tenerife |
| 49' | ⚽ | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 52' | 🟨 | Samuel Shashoua · Tenerife |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rafa Gálvez · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 175.00 | 633.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| elo | 1511.53 | 1434.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.59 | 18.31 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | -1.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.84 |
| league points | 50.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 60.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 33.40 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 8.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -11.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -2.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 29.96 | 28.13 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |