← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 44% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.40 |
| Mirandes win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Almeria +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Pablo Martínez · Mirandes |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 41' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 48' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ivanildo Fernandes · Almeria |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jorge Cuenca · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Akieme · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 298.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1484.07 | 1559.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.59 | -7.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| league points | 54.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 5.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.58 | 24.50 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |