← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 42% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Lugo win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Francisco Vieites · Lugo |
| 10' | ⚽ | Paris Barandiaran · Ponferradina |
| 28' | 🟨 | Curro · Ponferradina |
| 28' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Kaxe · Ponferradina |
| 78' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1058.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1475.56 | 1391.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.63 | -61.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.50 |
| league points | 51.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 7.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 28.03 |
| state index | -0.49 | -1.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |