← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 37% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.04 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Fuenlabrada +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| 28' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alex Mula · Fuenlabrada |
| 85' | 🟨 | Cristian Rodríguez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 479.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1489.68 | 1495.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.65 | -7.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 52.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.33 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |