← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 44% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Málaga CF win | 24% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Oscar Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 16' | 🟨 | Alejandro Benítez · Málaga CF |
| 18' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alex Suárez · Las Palmas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 78' | ⚽ | Stefan Šćepović · Málaga CF |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 778.00 | 472.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1485.30 | 1488.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.16 | 0.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 48.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 26.70 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |