← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.40 |
| Castellon win | 20% | 5.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Castellon +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Juanto Ortuño · Castellon |
| 26' | 🟨 | Arturo Molina Tornero · Castellon |
| 33' | 🟨 | Adrián Lapeña · Castellon |
| 42' | 🟨 | Martin Valjent · Mallorca |
| 71' | 🟨 | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
| 78' | 🟨 | Braian Cufré · Mallorca |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Garcia Marin · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 625.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1421.64 | 1601.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.85 | -11.70 |
| eye test v1 | -1.39 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 39.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -12.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.47 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 26.98 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |