← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Apr 3, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 43% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Castellon win | 25% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon +0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Oviedo +0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Matías Nahuel · Oviedo |
| 31' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 67' | ⚽ (og) | Alejandro Arribas · Castellon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Castellon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 16 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 611.00 | 427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1419.55 | 1493.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.01 | -5.25 |
| eye test v1 | -1.66 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 32.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 2.97 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.57 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 27.03 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |