← Segunda División 2020 · Thu, Apr 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Lugo win | 24% | 4.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 5' | ⚽ | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 10' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 35' | ⚽ | Rober González · Las Palmas |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 57' | ⚽ | Rober González · Las Palmas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 88' | ⚽ | Rober González · Las Palmas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ariday · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 762.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1466.95 | 1439.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.47 | -24.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 43.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 4.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 28.56 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |