← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Mar 27, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 36% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | David Fornies · Cartagena |
| 14' | ⚽ | Berto Cayarga · Cartagena |
| 51' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Raúl Navas · Cartagena |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alejandro Benítez · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matos · Málaga CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 77' | 🟨 | Julio Martinez · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Málaga CF |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jozabed Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟥 | Raúl Navas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 85.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1394.83 | 1486.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.71 | 26.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| league points | 30.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.79 | 26.28 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |